CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd137ae79e1cdcad40f52e2c16d241872cd6b57eaba73e96e14f39a1f12619fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 24c | 5,664$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.32 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 76c | 5,078$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.65 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 27c | 3,507$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.18 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 73c | 2,373$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.54 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 6c | 1,350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Over | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 26c | 766.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…b819backed Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 27c | 576.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.62 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 76c | 552.3$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 24c | 512$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 76c | 431.92$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.14 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 5c | 410.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 73c | 409.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Over | 74c | 371.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.64 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 27c | 367.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.07 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 42c | 351$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Under | 27c | 347.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Under | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Over | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 74c | 203$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 27c | 162.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…2ca2backed Over | 77c | 159.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 13c | 144.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 56c | 138$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 26c | 116.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…0a15backed Over | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…f40fbacked Over | 74c | 89.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 24c | 85.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Over | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 63.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 27c | 62.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed Over | 73c | 56.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 74c | 54.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 65c | 50.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 25c | 49.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked Over | 74c | 40.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 64.5%107 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…eb3ebacked Over | 72c | 33.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Over | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…c48fbacked Over | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…e435backed Over | 73c | 26.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Over | 74c | 26.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…2cf6backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…7180backed Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…91cbbacked Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION (BO5) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)9z won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)9z won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)9z won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-2.5) vs PARIVISION (+2.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.