TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof 9z, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked 9z59c25,177$14,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,322.3776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION41c23,797$9,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,728.6433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked PARIVISION41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1009047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed 9z62c10,000$6,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.999550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0390…da52backed PARIVISION49c8,625$4,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.21560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked 9z55c7,956$4,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed PARIVISION42c7,004$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.6717643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked PARIVISION38c6,715$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.5275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed 9z57c6,212$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.397152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked PARIVISION25c5,837$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.0763157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked 9z57c5,075$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.1938358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION50c4,996$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.055,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked 9z70c4,989$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.9138454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z59c4,277$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.6822449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PARIVISION40c3,956$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.271,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc1…c26bbacked 9z58c3,447$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.643447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z53c3,288$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.951,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked PARIVISION39c3,194$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed PARIVISION40c2,650$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.1117240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION42c2,459$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.9881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION41c2,387$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.012,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7573…8ceabacked 9z58c2,354$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed PARIVISION38c2,303$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8818534.1%29 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked PARIVISION31c1,885$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.344348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed 9z61c1,857$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.6420156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION26c1,602$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.465,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION35c1,558$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.841,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 9z61c1,515$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.846345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed PARIVISION18c1,509$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.816633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed 9z68c1,506$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.6316542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION40c1,500$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.252,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked PARIVISION37c1,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked PARIVISION27c1,470$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.692,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked PARIVISION32c1,327$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.232,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked 9z61c1,313$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed 9z59c1,305$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.8610150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION29c1,233$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.686,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed PARIVISION17c1,120$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION48c1,114$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.452,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION40c1,064$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2236645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed PARIVISION50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed 9z61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 9z60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc698…6794backed PARIVISION13c958.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed PARIVISION25c940.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.892,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked 9z56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8619357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…e622backed PARIVISION37c886.72$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.464351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION23c871.72$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.787,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed PARIVISION39c855.64$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3356752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed PARIVISION30c836.9$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9875438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed PARIVISION17c823.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9z62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed 9z66c754.51$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.051,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked 9z63c671.55$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.613642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed 9z77c615.11$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3126360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 9z69c612.59$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.072,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z59c586.2$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.852,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed 9z61c563.09$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.616238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed PARIVISION25c531$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.111,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked PARIVISION18c521.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8522729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed PARIVISION39c519.72$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6926624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked PARIVISION39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014940.3%60 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION37c502.09$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.324,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked 9z61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.811564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed PARIVISION41c491.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked 9z62c487.98$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4333057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked PARIVISION28c470.81$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed 9z55c460$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2079159.3%54 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed PARIVISION40c450.6$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0642154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed PARIVISION30c435.69$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1827037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed PARIVISION23c434.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d5…8863backed PARIVISION14c427.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.072619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked PARIVISION30c423.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.991,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION35c410.54$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3235341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked 9z61c399.95$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked 9z76c387.36$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4719548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked 9z78c380$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.258254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked 9z73c368$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4223653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…8063backed PARIVISION31c363.13$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.577132.4%23 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked PARIVISION28c350$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.519443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z51c350$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.425,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed 9z56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15453444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked 9z68c350$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11227548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION33c348.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.784,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION29c336.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9z65c336$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.211,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed 9z60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3317163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked PARIVISION41c331.24$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 9z61c329.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7227961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked 9z62c313.81$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2527740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked PARIVISION6c313.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3728935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION41c310.03$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed 9z66c306.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.519748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION27c306.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.965,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed 9z62c306.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed 9z60c305.05$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3217054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked PARIVISION22c303$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.21,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed 9z58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12618148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.