TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x710b…93b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT12260.7%74 W · 48 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$35.05
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.18
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.57
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.46
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.62
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.84
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.53
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.74
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Team Yandex to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.17
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$9.57
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$63.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$14.59
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.96
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$66.1
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.6
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$58.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.62
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.28
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.82
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.98
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40%+$7.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.