TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes61c67,617$41,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,169.9729446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes61c50,179$30,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,848.322268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c28,696$11,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,504.3519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No41c21,122$8,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,461.988643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No37c19,397$7,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,234.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c9,717$4,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600.025,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No36c5,441$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,495.445736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No39c4,717$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.847244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No38c3,976$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.1842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No40c3,200$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93624855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c2,544$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.978,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c2,146$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.333,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes64c1,184$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.931,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c999.33$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.772,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No38c833.33$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4310467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No40c800$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No39c769.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2227549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No39c769.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42016558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes11c644.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No38c610$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c487.81$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.862,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No40c480$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.416559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No39c471$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.3113049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No38c420.14$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.061,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No40c400$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24224956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No38c387.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1bd…f28dbacked Yes68c379.17$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes56c355.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No38c349.97$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No39c347$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.231,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c346.6$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.611,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes58c344.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No38c344.16$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No40c280$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.420360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Yes57c253.13$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c252$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.771,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No40c240$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14415857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c228.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.041,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c208.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.261,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No43c201.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes58c201.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No40c196$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No39c189$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4930754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No38c185.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.921,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No40c160$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes63c159.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No39c155.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3413062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.517255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No43c149.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7416347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No40c140$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8421657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No76c132$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes31c129.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No44c120.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.31,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No40c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No40c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.618959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes56c105$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.810146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed No42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c89.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No38c89.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2920138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Yes58c86.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No67c85.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes38c83.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes64c80.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.331,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.413465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed No39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed No39c71.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.713053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed No39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.617170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked No39c52.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.134533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e7…dfaabacked Yes21c49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Yes67c48.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.834452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x710b…93b0backed Yes62c47.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No66c45.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89db…d0efbacked No46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No35c39.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.173265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2c1…cd78backed No40c37.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No39c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.354667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No63c32.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No33c31.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1113457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No40c31.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8212755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed No68c30.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.532969%20 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.