South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8725fd5511830239def7e05e1bb73d097f7fe96f0a49f155ea49e8697338826f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,518$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 982.62$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 24c | 763$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.12 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 76c | 610$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 33c | 299.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 279.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 9c | 277.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 235.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 188.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 140.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…a155backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 68c | 99.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 28c | 71.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 53.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 52.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 68c | 49.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked No | 66c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 72c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed No | 67c | 15.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed No | 72c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 72c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?this page
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.