South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1233b8b6ec5ad368d423eba5569b09e0a2d13fba3f8e8d73b9869c71e5921a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed No | 18c | 990.43$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 24c | 709.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.42 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 13c | 407.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 19c | 371.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 362.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 349.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed No | 54c | 251.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 7c | 239.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 25c | 175.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 15c | 141.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 39c | 123$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 102.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 39c | 65.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 19c | 58.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 53.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 22c | 51.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 57c | 49.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 71c | 45.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 58c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 79c | 21.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.