Dota2 · resolved market
Team Yandex to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa945c7ad51bf97099e4cf670824cfb07a6d98eb95feb0e58b46e8310bb8d951b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 49c | 1,836$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 40c | 1,176$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 55c | 887.99$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 50c | 691.97$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.83 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 45c | 665.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 29c | 649.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e0…6ec6backed Yes | 56c | 627.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed No | 29c | 608.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Yes | 46c | 502.74$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 459$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…d318backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yes | 45c | 271.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 267.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 73c | 259$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 67c | 241.44$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed Yes | 46c | 215.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 54c | 207.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 50c | 205.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 54c | 179$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yes | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 54c | 160.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 152.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 47c | 119.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 47c | 109.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed No | 53c | 104.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 64c | 80.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Yes | 48c | 62.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…1284backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 57.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 54c | 54.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed No | 56c | 53.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Yes | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 50c | 29.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Yes | 46c | 28.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 43c | 27.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 76c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Yandex to win 2-0?this page
- LGD Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.