TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f6f…1284

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Dota2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7964.6%51 W · 28 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team AION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dota 2: Level UP vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Jenz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+60%+$37.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+159.3%+$21.5
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.16
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$16.41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+207.4%+$28.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$7.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Elizara Yanevabacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.