Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cc0fb7daa896fecc5226ebf6759ccd0c36a58b534cb28bf1f19d88f8fc67419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Jenzof Spirit Academy, Team Jenz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Jenz | 52c | 6,523$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.23 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 3,663$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.2 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Jenz | 53c | 1,895$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.45 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 1,884$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Jenz | 61c | 1,807$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Jenz | 60c | 1,760$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.08 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Spirit Academy | 2c | 1,527$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 1,365$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.88 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Jenz | 77c | 1,340$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…294cbacked Team Jenz | 55c | 1,151$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 1,107$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.5 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…f4b4backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 1,070$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Spirit Academy | 17c | 1,008$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Jenz | 49c | 897.2$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Jenz | 57c | 857.89$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.55 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 841.17$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.85 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…47d2backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 811.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 785.7$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Spirit Academy | 10c | 776.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…b52cbacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 754.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 626.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Spirit Academy | 20c | 544$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team Jenz | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Jenz | 75c | 434.78$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Jenz | 49c | 375.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Jenz | 59c | 337.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Jenz | 48c | 326.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Jenz | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 299.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Spirit Academy | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz | 61c | 272.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 258.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Jenz | 45c | 245.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Spirit Academy | 23c | 234.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Jenz | 55c | 224$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Jenz | 63c | 222.68$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Spirit Academy | 15c | 212.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 202.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz | 38c | 199.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit Academy | 20c | 193.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Jenz | 50c | 186.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz | 50c | 185.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 185$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 183.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Jenz | 72c | 164.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz | 54c | 157.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 157.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5828…b7d1backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 157.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Jenz | 45c | 155.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Spirit Academy | 9c | 149.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Jenz | 58c | 141$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Jenz | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spirit Academy | 26c | 131.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Jenz | 69c | 127.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Team Jenz | 46c | 122.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 121.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Jenz | 49c | 118.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Jenz | 43c | 115.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed Team Jenz | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Spirit Academy | 9c | 113.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team Jenz | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit Academy | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Team Jenz | 56c | 92.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Team Jenz | 51c | 92.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Jenz | 76c | 91.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 19c | 89.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Jenz | 39c | 89.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Jenz | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Team Jenz | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Team Jenz | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Jenz | 45c | 79.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Spirit Academy | 23c | 72.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Jenz | 76c | 70.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Jenz | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 67.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team Jenz | 79c | 67.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 61.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Team Jenz | 40c | 54.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Team Jenz | 43c | 52.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed Team Jenz | 67c | 50.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Team Jenz | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Team Jenz | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…1284backed Team Jenz | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 44.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 43.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…05f4backed Team Jenz | 46c | 43.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Team Jenz | 54c | 37.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Jenz won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 2 WinnerTeam Jenz won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.