TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Jenzof Spirit Academy, Team Jenz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy26c13,459$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.6389741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b13…294cbacked Spirit Academy51c9,400$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Jenz62c5,668$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1381,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Team Jenz50c3,190$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Jenz75c2,681$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.210651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Jenz45c2,474$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.455048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Team Jenz55c2,332$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.0434442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa36…b52cbacked Spirit Academy65c2,173$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Jenz45c2,068$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.0319147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9950850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Jenz50c1,524$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.580256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Jenz80c1,494$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7612764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Spirit Academy25c1,378$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Team Jenz47c1,336$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.121844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Spirit Academy43c1,161$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.375747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Team Jenz63c984.32$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4829466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Jenz76c818.05$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.782,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Spirit Academy39c786.58$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2612547.2%59 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Jenz77c780.34$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9817965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Spirit Academy55c777.62$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6115050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit Academy31c752.06$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.431,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Team Jenz51c715$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.055961%36 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy28c665.53$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1919251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Team Jenz63c634.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9448054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Spirit Academy40c483$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7724138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy51c462.52$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.772,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Team Jenz52c430.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7519547.2%92 W · 103 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Jenz78c406.46$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0893546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz70c373.73$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.811,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2330…ed99backed Spirit Academy50c358.8$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…f4b4backed Spirit Academy24c353.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.661233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Spirit Academy27c334.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.271,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8d…ee48backed Spirit Academy11c326.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.25944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Jenz50c316.12$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Spirit Academy26c307.52$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8332756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Team Jenz44c304.92$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.922958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…f884backed Team Jenz62c299.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1148960.7%54 W · 35 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Team Jenz49c289$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.425956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Team Jenz79c278.73$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7313975.5%105 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Spirit Academy38c278.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.335139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Spirit Academy40c277.5$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112253.3%65 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba01…1a89backed Spirit Academy22c276.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Spirit Academy50c272$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13619547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Jenz45c266$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.334443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5cc…e18fbacked Spirit Academy42c256.7$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Jenz58c237.18$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7937745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Jenz52c234.66$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked Spirit Academy37c231$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Spirit Academy26c230$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020820.7%43 W · 165 L-18.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Jenz79c225.3$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2856945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz62c214.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.841,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Spirit Academy44c206.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Jenz80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014452.1%75 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Team Jenz50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Team Jenz80c198$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d0…d69bbacked Team Jenz53c188.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Jenz50c180.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed Team Jenz50c176.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Jenz61c164.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1548057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy40c161.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2681345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Jenz63c155.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3757455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Team Jenz78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3333265.4%217 W · 115 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Jenz41c143.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.526550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ca…352dbacked Team Jenz70c140.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Jenz65c126$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.19848%47 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Spirit Academy28c120.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5130146.2%139 W · 162 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Team Jenz62c120.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.713647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Spirit Academy39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.847951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Team Jenz65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213044.6%58 W · 72 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Spirit Academy52c114.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Team Jenz45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.114577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Jenz50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.559254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Jenz65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0342146.6%196 W · 225 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea5…2f36backed Spirit Academy31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Jenz48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5232445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Team Jenz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Team Jenz52c97.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.021770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Team Jenz65c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.550247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz75c83.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Spirit Academy51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3327636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Team Jenz77c82.24$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9212860.9%78 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Jenz63c73.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1414336.4%52 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team Jenz60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6737253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7578…926ebacked Team Jenz66c66.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Team Jenz77c65.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.172975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Spirit Academy50c64.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4157654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Jenz43c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0466545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed Team Jenz74c61.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2122259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Spirit Academy50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.78053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Jenz33c59.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f7…6573backed Team Jenz50c58.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Jenz43c57.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5324636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Team Jenz52c56.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2822558.2%131 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Spirit Academy32c54.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5919449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec5…c6d4backed Spirit Academy52c50.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Jenz57c48.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.119444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e6…05f4backed Team Jenz61c48.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8713268.2%90 W · 42 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4420…5658backed Team Jenz44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.458861.4%54 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ea…15cbbacked Team Jenz46c44.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+73.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Jenz48c42.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2295841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.