TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Jenzof Spirit Academy, Team Jenz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy50c20,309$10,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,095.8647646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Jenz50c17,347$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,722.145048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Spirit Academy52c3,599$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.6810961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spirit Academy1c3,359$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8493546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Jenz43c2,690$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Jenz57c2,202$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.9289238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x920b…47d2backed Spirit Academy56c2,127$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Team Jenz53c1,882$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.7715848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa36…b52cbacked Spirit Academy60c1,698$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde90…d417backed Team Jenz77c1,449$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick74cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4e…852fbacked Team Jenz53c1,372$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.554238.1%16 W · 26 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Team Jenz60c1,283$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.8629466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Spirit Academy51c1,268$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.374238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Spirit Academy46c1,267$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.7916746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Spirit Academy44c1,242$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8128044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba03…0486backed Spirit Academy43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5167234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Spirit Academy56c1,149$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4854058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Jenz50c1,136$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.342,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Team Jenz55c1,128$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.8513635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Spirit Academy37c1,082$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3220827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit Academy45c1,062$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.551,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Jenz56c1,004$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.7658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy21c975.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Team Jenz58c904.99$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.058048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Spirit Academy48c864.99$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.863528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Spirit Academy23c841.93$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.457044.3%31 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Team Jenz61c794.52$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8923736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…763fbacked Spirit Academy55c776.99$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Jenz57c727.72$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9221146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Team Jenz40c725$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43513142.7%56 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Jenz56c600$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26733445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Spirit Academy54c548.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.750850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca96…7125backed Team Jenz50c542.94$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Team Jenz54c509.91$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0768345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed Team Jenz48c507.79$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.853946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Jenz59c502.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.412,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Team Jenz57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Team Jenz76c477.34$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3416963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ea…7668backed Spirit Academy41c467.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.661250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Team Jenz63c450.88$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.881844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy50c437.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6166947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Jenz49c411.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4256945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…767dbacked Team Jenz44c404.75$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Team Jenz74c403.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.114577.8%35 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed Team Jenz62c374.84$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.782147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Jenz60c372.74$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.91,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Jenz58c372.22$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.679341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Spirit Academy43c353.31$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.924858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked Team Jenz63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.212040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Jenz48c347.87$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.811,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Team Jenz62c344.37$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13eb…e5ebbacked Team Jenz74c341.74$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Spirit Academy48c334.78$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Team Jenz60c331.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.346368.3%43 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Team Jenz47c325$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9224138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Team Jenz54c317.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3710952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Jenz56c310.94$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.641,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Team Jenz46c307.91$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.84247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Spirit Academy50c299.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9970052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Jenz49c295.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7258746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Jenz57c292.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4689938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Spirit Academy42c273.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Jenz50c261$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.537754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Spirit Academy47c260.53$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Spirit Academy42c259.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Spirit Academy48c259.12$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.335737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Team Jenz45c245$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7525956.8%147 W · 112 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ce…7ecbbacked Team Jenz58c242$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.721275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Spirit Academy35c238.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+100.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Team Jenz45c236.13$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8725349.4%125 W · 128 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Jenz64c235.44$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4419547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Spirit Academy43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010637.7%40 W · 66 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Team Jenz65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.774856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Spirit Academy12c230$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.871838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked Team Jenz65c226$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19a…2d2dbacked Team Jenz44c218.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Spirit Academy45c216.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14e…abf6backed Spirit Academy57c214.21$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Team Jenz55c211.89$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6553538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Spirit Academy46c207.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959942.4%42 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Spirit Academy43c201.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Spirit Academy56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.873658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Spirit Academy14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278045%36 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Spirit Academy33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+116.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Jenz53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9446240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Team Jenz71c198.05$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3618562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Jenz64c196.88$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8826445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked Team Jenz61c195.92$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…4e6abacked Spirit Academy42c193.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.792245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy40c181.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3581345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Spirit Academy56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Spirit Academy56c178.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006159%36 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit Academy37c177.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.765647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8931…0627backed Spirit Academy29c173.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dde…efdfbacked Spirit Academy53c172.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.023033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Jenz45c171.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7424636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Spirit Academy42c169.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9915147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Jenz65c166.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.951,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Team Jenz61c164.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Team Jenz64c160.2$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4738547.5%183 W · 202 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.