TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,235,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,344,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,235,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 579 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked M8033c519,517$171,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,801.6842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed M8033c150,305$49,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,494.5520354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed G266c100,000$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,999.9923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G267c96,365$64,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,800.611,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed G267c83,775$56,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,645.781963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked G266c45,639$30,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,517.4122354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G268c45,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed M8032c45,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.8941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40eb…d455backed G268c37,789$25,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,227.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G269c36,230$24,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,231.625,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked G268c35,000$23,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20038358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed G266c33,103$21,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,155.0813244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed G267c26,875$18,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,868.7315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked M8015c26,643$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,986.4341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G267c25,000$16,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,25050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked G267c22,500$15,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,424.9923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked M8032c18,835$6,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,027.2275652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed G268c18,520$12,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,926.4110359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed M8014c17,857$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.461,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G268c16,297$11,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,214.292,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G268c15,625$10,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00021048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed M8033c11,111$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a1…ab38backed G267c10,865$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked M8010c10,633$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.1730726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed G267c10,267$6,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.2420448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed G266c10,155$6,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.6310361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbbb…ae06backed M800c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked G268c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20034559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked M8031c9,400$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.964544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed M8031c8,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.996259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed G267c7,875$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.7510850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed G267c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked M8032c6,000$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.9117540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed G267c5,800$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked M8033c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed G268c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6009551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G267c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked M8033c4,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48528538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed G269c4,250$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.1150051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked G267c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3203053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked G266c3,788$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.8819757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed M8014c3,652$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked G268c3,638$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.134652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed G267c3,566$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.6966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked M808c3,522$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.851,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed M8028c3,500$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.5311434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked M8015c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9813760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed G267c3,284$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.5812955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed M8033c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked G267c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed G266c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed M8034c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked G276c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7206266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked G267c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.0736453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G267c2,984$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.7260248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed G267c2,725$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.0419947.2%94 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked M8033c2,524$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed M806c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked G269c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed G269c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7757751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G267c2,500$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.971,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed G267c2,459$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.5333359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked G267c2,400$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.9710136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed G266c2,376$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.816841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed M8031c2,254$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.521,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked M8032c2,138$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.5464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked M8010c2,115$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked G272c2,072$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed M8034c2,048$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.3211843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8031c2,038$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.761,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed M8010c2,035$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed G279c2,023$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.859746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed M8034c1,950$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66313049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G266c1,920$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.62,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8012c1,900$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.695,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked G267c1,840$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.232548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed M8034c1,765$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G267c1,705$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.571,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed M8033c1,669$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.0113754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked M8014c1,666$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7932552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked M8011c1,634$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6316920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked M801c1,586$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed M806c1,566$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked G268c1,552$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6129046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed G267c1,500$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.999551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G267c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49551252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked M8034c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G268c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed G268c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5914743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked M809c1,469$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.444,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G273c1,438$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.831,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked G266c1,389$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2113947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed G267c1,374$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.2997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked M8033c1,373$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45312143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…ca4ebacked M8031c1,300$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed G266c1,288$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8713732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed G267c1,280$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.5212154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e6…036dbacked G267c1,231$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.344656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked G266c1,216$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4410644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed G267c1,201$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2910863.9%69 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.