CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5956e111e0e9b352200e89196a1e68b294d349644119cdf862221e9567cd069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof FlyQuest, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,042,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,182,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 690 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FlyQuest | 46c | 206,631$94,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,984.14 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed paiN | 53c | 141,277$75,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,700.31 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked paiN | 54c | 92,274$49,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,279.44 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FlyQuest | 46c | 88,853$40,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,872.46 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 53,374$24,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,997.97 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 53c | 43,274$22,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,394.46 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed FlyQuest | 46c | 26,343$12,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,130.98 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked paiN | 54c | 25,350$13,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,660.92 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FlyQuest | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.99 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed paiN | 55c | 23,842$13,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,757.69 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked paiN | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN | 63c | 18,734$11,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.85 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked paiN | 54c | 18,651$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,650.79 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed paiN | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.52 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed paiN | 54c | 17,926$9,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,246.1 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FlyQuest | 32c | 17,882$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.68 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked FlyQuest | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed paiN | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked paiN | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.99 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FlyQuest | 45c | 15,000$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.97 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed FlyQuest | 21c | 15,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.97 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed paiN | 54c | 12,930$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FlyQuest | 45c | 11,487$5,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.8 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked paiN | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.11 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed paiN | 71c | 10,737$7,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.64 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed FlyQuest | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed paiN | 57c | 10,405$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.07 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed paiN | 54c | 10,078$5,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.04 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked FlyQuest | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed FlyQuest | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed paiN | 54c | 9,260$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed paiN | 54c | 9,221$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked paiN | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed FlyQuest | 45c | 7,009$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.33 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed paiN | 71c | 6,751$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.91 | 152 | 64.5%98 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed paiN | 54c | 6,690$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.22 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 58c | 6,640$3,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.61 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed paiN | 71c | 6,497$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FlyQuest | 46c | 6,482$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.72 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked paiN | 55c | 6,195$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FlyQuest | 46c | 6,000$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked paiN | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed FlyQuest | 20c | 5,986$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.72 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5946…5623backed paiN | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…3193backed paiN | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed FlyQuest | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FlyQuest | 46c | 5,411$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.69 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed FlyQuest | 47c | 5,349$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.74 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FlyQuest | 46c | 5,223$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.21 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…e0b6backed FlyQuest | 46c | 5,046$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked paiN | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed paiN | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed paiN | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FlyQuest | 46c | 4,597$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.14 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed paiN | 54c | 4,330$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.61 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed FlyQuest | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…975fbacked paiN | 71c | 4,196$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.77 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked paiN | 79c | 4,137$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.28 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FlyQuest | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed paiN | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed FlyQuest | 29c | 3,794$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed paiN | 55c | 3,754$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.37 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…3553backed paiN | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed paiN | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FlyQuest | 33c | 3,417$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed paiN | 53c | 3,333$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.68 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked paiN | 71c | 3,310$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.89 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FlyQuest | 45c | 3,228$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.32 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked FlyQuest | 16c | 3,134$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked paiN | 65c | 3,005$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.25 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed paiN | 53c | 3,005$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.35 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked FlyQuest | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed FlyQuest | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked paiN | 54c | 2,987$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.96 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 2,820$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.4 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 28c | 2,663$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed paiN | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 109 | 69.7%76 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed FlyQuest | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed FlyQuest | 46c | 2,341$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.68 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed paiN | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FlyQuest | 19c | 2,171$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.3 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed paiN | 54c | 2,147$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.47 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed paiN | 54c | 2,097$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.06 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked FlyQuest | 45c | 2,074$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.3 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed paiN | 53c | 2,066$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.97 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed FlyQuest | 24c | 2,026$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked paiN | 56c | 2,000$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FlyQuest | 47c | 1,996$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.12 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed paiN | 73c | 1,963$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked paiN | 68c | 1,959$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.5 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed FlyQuest | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked FlyQuest | 9c | 1,944$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…bb83backed paiN | 55c | 1,878$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed paiN | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked paiN | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2this page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5)FlyQuest won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.