CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc46c4cca32cec9e512ede12acf4d043092eb1a176f33c8df9aca9c593b9fa052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 80c | 2,081$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.39 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 80c | 1,543$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.85 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Over | 45c | 554.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 3c | 550$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 462.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 434.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 400.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa505…c985backed Over | 46c | 328.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 45c | 293.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 36c | 241.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 17c | 194.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 52c | 174.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 108.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 45c | 102.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 71c | 71.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Over | 50c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 48.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 46c | 45.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 40.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Under | 50c | 36.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760e…db1abacked Over | 48c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…d5aabacked Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 73c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Under | 52c | 20.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Under | 52c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Under | 79c | 18.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2paiN won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5)FlyQuest won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.