Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f32599479a7c9163d5b47c0baaa8e41b72c10ceed0051cd0700233e6560cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $611,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $679,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 158,255$35,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,782.19 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PARIVISION | 77c | 81,624$62,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,628.94 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed PARIVISION | 78c | 72,183$56,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,880.23 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…fec3backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 51,400$9,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,607.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 23,514$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.29 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 23,059$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.96 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 15,322$11,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.76 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 79c | 13,940$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.44 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 12,487$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.14 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PARIVISION | 79c | 11,500$9,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 79c | 8,893$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.49 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 78c | 6,003$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.19 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 5,718$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.22 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 5,435$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.7 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 5,132$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.49 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 4,779$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 4,500$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.39 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Rune Eaters | 9c | 4,400$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Rune Eaters | 11c | 4,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked Rune Eaters | 8c | 4,110$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 4,058$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.13 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Rune Eaters | 4c | 4,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 3,823$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.37 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.47 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 3,782$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 3,743$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.27 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PARIVISION | 77c | 3,550$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.49 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PARIVISION | 80c | 3,540$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.91 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PARIVISION | 79c | 3,437$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.81 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 79c | 3,212$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Rune Eaters | 17c | 2,769$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.17 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 2,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.27 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 2,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 2,267$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 2,254$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,250$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.75 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,240$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.3 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,020$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 2,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 1,899$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,888$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.7 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,703$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,634$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.72 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…c411backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 1,632$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 1,614$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,582$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 1,537$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.14 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,467$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.06 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Rune Eaters | 9c | 1,440$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,350$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabac…879cbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,336$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…edadbacked Rune Eaters | 7c | 1,336$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,300$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,265$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,255$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,250$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,250$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 1,250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 1,188$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Rune Eaters | 6c | 1,165$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked Rune Eaters | 18c | 1,111$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 1,105$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,104$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,052$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 1,048$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 1,011$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 952.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.42 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed PARIVISION | 79c | 886.08$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.08 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 880.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 851.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea4…be49backed Rune Eaters | 5c | 777$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 757$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 749.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…e44ebacked PARIVISION | 79c | 745.03$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 728.16$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…78dcbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 717.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 672.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 653.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 650$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 637.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked PARIVISION | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 632.23$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.