Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d5da40598baab5db5ab934a00cd8ff8892c7e70a05edc1e386db27b4bceb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 139,219$46,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,718.78 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 67c | 60,156$40,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,122.71 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION | 66c | 13,033$8,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.32 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed PARIVISION | 65c | 11,059$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.71 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION | 67c | 11,000$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 8,365$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed PARIVISION | 68c | 8,121$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.61 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 6,837$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.39 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 4,050$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Rune Eaters | 15c | 2,726$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.88 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed PARIVISION | 67c | 2,472$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.88 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,798$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.47 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…35aebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,727$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,531$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.95 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.85 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.16 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,373$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,274$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 1,199$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.34 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked PARIVISION | 66c | 885$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 785$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PARIVISION | 61c | 740.43$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.77 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed PARIVISION | 66c | 736.53$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 714.43$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 680$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…cd39backed PARIVISION | 68c | 654.49$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 621.44$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 604.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed PARIVISION | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 576.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 574.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 513.2$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed PARIVISION | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…7834backed PARIVISION | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 486.36$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 462$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed PARIVISION | 65c | 428.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed PARIVISION | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 398.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 390$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 370.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 66c | 367.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PARIVISION | 65c | 362.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 362.27$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Rune Eaters | 14c | 348.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…3172backed PARIVISION | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…53e5backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 298.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a7…dc41backed PARIVISION | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed PARIVISION | 67c | 288.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PARIVISION | 67c | 267.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 261.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PARIVISION | 71c | 261.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…a8bdbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 243$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 229.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Rune Eaters | 19c | 223$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed PARIVISION | 68c | 222$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed PARIVISION | 63c | 218.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…4a53backed PARIVISION | 66c | 203.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Rune Eaters | 35c | 191.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed PARIVISION | 62c | 177.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed PARIVISION | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3a15backed PARIVISION | 66c | 158.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 64c | 156.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed PARIVISION | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed PARIVISION | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…a700backed PARIVISION | 67c | 143.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 138.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5d87backed PARIVISION | 64c | 123.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked PARIVISION | 67c | 119.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed PARIVISION | 62c | 113.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 113.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed PARIVISION | 67c | 113.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PARIVISION | 63c | 113.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed PARIVISION | 66c | 105.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked PARIVISION | 68c | 93.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…bbd2backed PARIVISION | 67c | 84.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed PARIVISION | 67c | 82.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.