TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x022b…35ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insbacked DIA Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$136.18
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked MAGAZA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$143.85
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagebacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.57
LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$301.6
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$291.43
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.35
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.57
Game Handicap: FUE (-1.5) vs 3v Team (+1.5)backed Fuego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.54
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.91
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$150.99
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$102.46
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$169.12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+173.9%+$1,391.35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$707
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$110.52
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$127.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$291.66
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.62
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.38
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked MIBR.LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$291.38
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$359.45
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.04
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.62
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.36
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.07
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$341.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.42
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$501.67
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$480.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$533.66
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,934Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$630.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,115.39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,321.48
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$554.62
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.63
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$124.55
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.17
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$205.26
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.06
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$572.92
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.94
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.75
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.78
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81%+$136.47
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.01
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29%+$289.81
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.96
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.99
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.58
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$632
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Bangladeshbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.