Fifa International · resolved market
United States leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac34a8d1a370b3ab690ab8a68cfb0cfce17a56b05fcc072c6bf1ebcb86ce6299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 44c | 45,444$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,443.59 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 40,198$8,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,544.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 38,752$17,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,273.08 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 56c | 34,026$19,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,043.27 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 26,724$12,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,960.96 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 26,443$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,193.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 57c | 25,874$14,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,748.09 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 12,742$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 55c | 8,823$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.39 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 8,337$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 8,284$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.58 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 8,280$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.96 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 41c | 5,852$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.84 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.98 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 4,837$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.39 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes | 45c | 4,500$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.5 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 56c | 4,250$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 3,785$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.71 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 68c | 3,260$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.47 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 55c | 2,597$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 43c | 2,153$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.97 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 56c | 2,119$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.75 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 4c | 2,045$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 55c | 1,864$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.2 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 55c | 1,714$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.54 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ca76backed No | 56c | 1,656$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 44c | 1,596$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.99 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,498$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.67 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 14c | 1,383$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 32c | 1,372$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.28 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 56c | 1,363$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.24 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 1,181$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.36 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 56c | 1,166$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.66 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 44c | 999.86$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.92 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…6babbacked Yes | 44c | 906.89$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.86 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 45c | 879.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.23 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 57c | 816.66$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.52 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Yes | 44c | 803.43$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 9c | 766.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 55c | 749.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 707.56$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.91 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 58c | 582.56$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…5b4fbacked Yes | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 43c | 553.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.33 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…ccbdbacked Yes | 43c | 521.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 54c | 501$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 46c | 480$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 478.24$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.03 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 45c | 458.64$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 20c | 458$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…28aebacked Yes | 45c | 439.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 3c | 415.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 373.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 44c | 369.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 79c | 363.7$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 45c | 359.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 43c | 349.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 21c | 343.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 56c | 334.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 55c | 280$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 45c | 255.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 252.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 44c | 248$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…69a3backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 57c | 224.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…52d2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…a88ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States leading at halftime?this page
- Australia leading at halftime?No won
- United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.