Fifa International · resolved market
Australia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7a18bd6791a4be6f3d52887b8590735eb193237911d8295cbaf8555e568e7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 27,886$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 25,986$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 5,059$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 16c | 4,492$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.14 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 4,390$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,200$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 15c | 1,614$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 15c | 979.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 15c | 800$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 15c | 764.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 13c | 762.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 619.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…14b5backed Yes | 14c | 605.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 15c | 580$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 15c | 467.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 306$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 16c | 182$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Yes | 8c | 170.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…3157backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…5826backed Yes | 16c | 159.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…0ce6backed Yes | 16c | 131.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 129.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed Yes | 16c | 104.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 103.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…1826backed Yes | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes | 15c | 85.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 16c | 75.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf523…5450backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia leading at halftime?this page
- United States leading at halftime?Yes won
- United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.