United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf4495015ed8f836f441008d833350665abf367fc37bfea456a0cd9c91ec3e01

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $130,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,676 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes	47c	47,602$22,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,347	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	53c	43,312$22,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,356.61	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	57c	25,535$14,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,961.76	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9356…e52bbacked Yes	42c	12,007$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	76c	10,326$7,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,454.29	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	45c	8,761$3,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,926.53	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No	55c	5,742$3,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,583.74	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Yes	41c	4,856$1,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,990.96	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes	47c	3,708$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.86	142	32.4%46 W · 96 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	58c	3,247$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,377.76	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	45c	2,731$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.9	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	42c	2,613$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.9	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Yes	42c	2,103$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.16	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	39c	2,024$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.65	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No	59c	1,846$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.83	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	61c	1,699$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.83	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No	57c	1,419$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.46	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	56c	1,221$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.88	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…9a60backed Yes	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Yes	42c	1,131$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.81	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes	42c	1,100$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462	131	18.3%24 W · 107 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No	58c	1,058$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.68	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	56c	997.54$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.92	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55cb…275abacked Yes	3c	939.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	103	8.7%9 W · 94 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-44%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	6c	898.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes	47c	851.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	58c	799.98$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.32	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	27c	704.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.11	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	11c	698.3$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.61	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Yes	9c	639.78$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.49	334	38.6%129 W · 205 L	-17.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	278	45.7%127 W · 151 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Yes	42c	595.24$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes	14c	537$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+5.9wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed No	58c	535.41$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.87	123	44.7%55 W · 68 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No	58c	501$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.42	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed No	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked No	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed No	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No	58c	499.99$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed No	58c	499.99$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	311	29.6%92 W · 219 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Yes	42c	476.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	11c	418.82$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.47	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes	11c	352.73$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	77	14.3%11 W · 66 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes	12c	320.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes	44c	306.82$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	210	48.6%102 W · 108 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Yes	44c	299.99$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.99	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	233	36.9%86 W · 147 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	165	9.7%16 W · 149 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes	17c	249.18$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.02	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd883…714ebacked Yes	41c	246$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.86	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	42c	237.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Yes	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf325…2dbabacked Yes	41c	204.88$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…fba4backed No	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1e…0a03backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	2.8%2 W · 70 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	9cpaid	-96.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	58c	181.49$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.23	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0519…3b47backed No	57c	176.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.33	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Yes	44c	170.45$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	315	43.5%137 W · 178 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No	58c	170.01$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.85	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes	15c	166.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	206	49.5%102 W · 104 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8c…116dbacked Yes	41c	158.54$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No	59c	150$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.75	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No	56c	132.78$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.12	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes	43c	131.24$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.43	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	23c	128$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	41c	125$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.25	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No	56c	119.36$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.52	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa3…c811backed Yes	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	40.8%115 W · 167 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes	14c	107.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	459	32.5%149 W · 310 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…0bdabacked Yes	42c	102.38$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ff…45f5backed Yes	45c	102$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.9	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	294	30.3%89 W · 205 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	274	34.3%94 W · 180 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	58c	96.99$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.83	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed No	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	179	59.2%106 W · 73 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed No	60c	81.67$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.67	346	46%159 W · 187 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578f…29d9backed No	59c	80$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.8	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	55c	79.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked No	59c	75.07$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.78	348	44.3%154 W · 194 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89f7…f073backed Yes	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	136	38.2%52 W · 84 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	226	27.9%63 W · 163 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	58c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9da3…6f0cbacked Yes	42c	52.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	27c	50.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2289…5080backed Yes	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca37…5facbacked No	57c	49.98$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed No	58c	48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+4.8wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a44…8ac3backed Yes	44c	46.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?this page
Australia leading at halftime?No won
United States leading at halftime?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event