TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9da3…6f0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.17
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$40.49
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.49
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.62
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.54
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.67
United States vs. Australia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$56.88
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
England vs. Croatia: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.46
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Berrettini vs. Fils: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5)backed Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$71.02
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bellucci vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Set Handicap: Kyrgios (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)backed Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kyrgios vs. Moutet: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$53.36
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.68
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$59.03
Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.42
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.17
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.