Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x770c7100d6e8009131ef9c300dc6dcc1a11e9c4fab6d01bce1a9086c79ce80b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Carballes Baenaof Jesper de Jong, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,804 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 16,166$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,941.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jesper de Jong | 49c | 11,871$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 49c | 7,755$3,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 6,527$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.08 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Jesper de Jong | 63c | 4,753$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jesper de Jong | 78c | 3,726$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 3,177$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.65 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Jesper de Jong | 23c | 3,032$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.69 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Jesper de Jong | 67c | 2,996$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 2,405$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.29 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 14c | 2,315$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.06 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 16c | 2,173$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.61 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 2,016$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.43 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8cb0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 1,753$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Jesper de Jong | 63c | 1,715$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Jesper de Jong | 65c | 1,624$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 69cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Jesper de Jong | 64c | 1,615$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.6 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Jesper de Jong | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Jesper de Jong | 66c | 1,524$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Jesper de Jong | 66c | 1,509$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.1 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Jesper de Jong | 61c | 1,501$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jesper de Jong | 61c | 1,349$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 1,306$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Jesper de Jong | 60c | 1,235$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.69 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 1,100$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 1,082$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.05 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Jesper de Jong | 57c | 1,060$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Jesper de Jong | 64c | 1,011$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 41c | 970.32$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.11 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Jesper de Jong | 53c | 917.83$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.42 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jesper de Jong | 57c | 913.63$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.77 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Jesper de Jong | 80c | 897.63$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…b220backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 850$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Jesper de Jong | 63c | 850$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 48c | 821.55$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 800$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…ce06backed Jesper de Jong | 58c | 799.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 31c | 794.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.36 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Jesper de Jong | 67c | 748.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 713.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.97 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Jesper de Jong | 72c | 623.05$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.39 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 42c | 615.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 28c | 539.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.77 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 38c | 538.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.07 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 22c | 534.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 33c | 530$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 76c | 530$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…b334backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 510$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…daedbacked Jesper de Jong | 64c | 510$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 68c | 507.93$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Jesper de Jong | 18c | 489.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 479.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.31 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 471.38$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 43c | 469.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Jesper de Jong | 58c | 464$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.74 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 450$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 28c | 434$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.62 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Jesper de Jong | 78c | 388.35$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.1 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 380.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.16 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 360.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 330$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jesper de Jong | 61c | 325$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Jesper de Jong | 55c | 317$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jesper de Jong | 56c | 317$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 26c | 310.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.11 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…1782backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 300.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…ed77backed Jesper de Jong | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…a199backed Jesper de Jong | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4837…6cdcbacked Jesper de Jong | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 289.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 283$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Jesper de Jong | 66c | 272.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Jesper de Jong | 21c | 255.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 250.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Jesper de Jong | 67c | 250.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 237.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.84 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Jesper de Jong | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 46c | 219.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jesper de Jong | 76c | 216.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 51c | 214.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 208.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 199.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 196$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Jesper de Jong | 62c | 193.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Jesper de Jong | 62c | 183.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Jesper de Jong | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jesper de Jong | 51c | 176.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 17c | 174.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Jesper de Jong | 65c | 171.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 170.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Jesper de Jong | 53c | 170.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…b96bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 166.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jesper de Jong | 61c | 163.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jesper de Jong | 60c | 163$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jesper de Jong | 55c | 160.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed Jesper de Jong | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Jesper de Jong | 63c | 157.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Jesper de Jong | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenathis page
- Jesper de Jong vs. Roberto Carballes Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Jong vs. Baena: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Jong vs BaenaJong won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.