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Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$647,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 451 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2759…2b38backed No18c77,800$13,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,166.314429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No17c65,888$11,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,686.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+151.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No49c44,997$22,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,989.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Yes59c30,121$17,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,80060%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No50c28,604$14,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,302.254757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes51c17,301$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9001127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No18c16,679$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,676.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No60c13,609$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,488.875759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No17c12,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,959.921471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+104%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes40c11,187$4,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,474.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c10,194$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.4293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c10,086$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,780.242,57545.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L+12.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No17c10,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3003938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes54c9,200$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.997350.7%37 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Yes58c8,652$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes74c8,579$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,311.9127041.1%111 W · 159 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes50c8,500$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,247.352050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes74c8,400$6,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,181.984955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No18c8,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.935641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c7,398$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.1651049.6%253 W · 257 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked No56c6,879$3,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes42c6,560$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7501040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No45c5,654$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes50c5,100$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No18c5,042$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.172343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1537…c480backed No18c5,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No17c4,322$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.555446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No47c4,299$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.632850.6%166 W · 162 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c4,283$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.382,01339.4%794 W · 1,219 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No22c3,967$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.6911251.8%58 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes50c3,900$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+120.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No53c3,134$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.892646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No37c3,060$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.6441644%183 W · 233 L+1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes46c3,017$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.8111254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No18c2,875$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.876033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No51c2,761$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.823363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No43c2,679$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.551947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes16c2,671$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x159a…d8dbbacked Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.951030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked No40c2,232$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes50c2,040$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0208334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99015650%78 W · 78 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes58c1,800$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes74c1,746$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes23c1,632$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No48c1,532$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.198161.7%50 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Yes56c1,489$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.811233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes57c1,400$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79840%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No18c1,388$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.0238747.8%185 W · 202 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No18c1,387$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.7146147.3%218 W · 243 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No39c1,346$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.123857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+108.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes52c1,343$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes39c1,332$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.563141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No23c1,281$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.2541240.8%168 W · 244 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4436…d11abacked No18c1,275$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes50c1,180$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x442d…f7bebacked Yes73c1,167$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes70c1,139$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c1,122$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.3423743.5%103 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No17c1,100$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.996155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes64c1,091$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed No19c1,032$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.813928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Yes53c1,012$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No19c1,001$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.13977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+75.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes56c999.99$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Yes49c999.96$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No20c990.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.783177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+92.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No25c980$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73529962.5%187 W · 112 L+34.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No41c963.45$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.973762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes53c961.36$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.254320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed Yes41c959.42$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes72c870$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No18c860$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.25259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d9…4c90backed Yes49c859.99$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed No59c844.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.36366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes47c821.61$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.321450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3843813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes67c784.45$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.493154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe461…c526backed Yes48c783.93$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Yes59c762.71$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Yes30c759.74$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.953119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2000…d960backed Yes63c759$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes38c736.84$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804725.5%12 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No18c727$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.1442647.9%204 W · 222 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…6510backed Yes55c721.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes61c703.91$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.94158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1719…121abacked Yes49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yes49c595.06$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1a…dfcfbacked Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.