TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$432,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,179 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes62c107,000$66,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,929.972653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No40c62,635$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0002853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No38c32,012$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,200.228545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No38c26,524$10,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0791442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes60c14,061$8,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c12,398$7,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,927.321,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes64c9,844$6,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,514.182,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No38c9,600$3,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6485532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.511275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.513360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No38c7,567$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.381250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes72c7,248$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.9452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes62c6,855$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.841741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No39c6,249$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4373250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe530…7424backed No38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes61c4,804$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.1391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No39c4,398$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No38c4,395$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3301952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No39c3,260$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.41513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes61c3,132$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.4813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed No38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No38c2,885$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.37354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No39c2,680$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes77c2,548$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.312552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No39c2,522$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.9855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9507143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No39c2,447$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.335947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No38c2,395$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.15356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No38c2,222$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.364551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No38c1,628$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No37c1,511$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.914259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c1,509$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57024655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No39c1,471$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.861118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes64c1,119$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.292142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes61c1,032$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.7610055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No10c1,012$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.592245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes62c1,006$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4533349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No39c989.74$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3862740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No38c965$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.710554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes62c959$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.422161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Yes60c820$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd1…96a7backed Yes61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab2…aa17backed No40c790$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397d…32a2backed No40c760$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes62c759$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.421346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…d897backed Yes61c750$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes62c725.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8815947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No37c717.09$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.321030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27311153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes61c699.98$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.995856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes60c601.6$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.6438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No38c565.79$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Yes62c548.39$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974e…8703backed No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1904050%20 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1954751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No20c490$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed No39c473.23$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.231650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1523256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5bb…7466backed No40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Yes62c387.1$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No40c386.4$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.563138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No39c370$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No7c360$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Yes62c344.79$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No39c340.2$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.684955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes61c330$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.71070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No38c328.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.012343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Yes62c323.09$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.585048%24 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes62c304.84$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.846944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No39c300$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1411843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes62c299$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.622552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked No39c278$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4270%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Yes62c274$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Yes62c274$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c273.76$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.881,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c272.73$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No37c266.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7521835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No13c261.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.13125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9514252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9512948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes71c249.5$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.533956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.