Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef26c2e8e5b72997029f9af4f8b455dc5f778f2f055bd7899deb5ae0bd05c3e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 2,292$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 1,732$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 658.02$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 78c | 642.71$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 22c | 628.84$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 23c | 373.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 22c | 270$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 23c | 253.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…a461backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 195.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 78c | 176.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 136.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 14c | 131.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…0df6backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 78c | 123.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 110.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 100.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 78c | 91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 90.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…91a2backed No | 77c | 89.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 17c | 89.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 21c | 88.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 66.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…e2b6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…4cddbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 59.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 22c | 48.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 77c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed No | 77c | 20.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?this page
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-19?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.