Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dc019dbba1ffedbe9e7ca389dc17b8f03f8de3824f25968b3a35337edc8fafc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,072 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Yes | 4c | 100,192$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…b282backed Yes | 16c | 5,414$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,200$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,050$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f84…e4b4backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 17c | 1,151$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 17c | 1,019$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 17c | 752.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 17c | 647.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 18c | 636$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 5c | 427.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 16c | 368$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…a658backed No | 79c | 357.23$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc812…1fb0backed Yes | 21c | 357.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…0af8backed Yes | 10c | 349.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 18c | 334.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 8c | 301$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb363…db78backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 4c | 268.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 6c | 258$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 9c | 217.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 16c | 216.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 189.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…aa0fbacked Yes | 17c | 166.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 17c | 141.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 15c | 128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Yes | 17c | 127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…b6d7backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…e8d1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 17c | 119.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 17c | 115$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…3158backed Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…6e72backed Yes | 16c | 105.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…c4b5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 32c | 98.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed Yes | 17c | 92.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…842bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…3f22backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 69c | 85.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…ac23backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 16c | 81.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…ba60backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 17c | 68.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…dc5fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 19c | 60.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 28.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.