TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6977…e8d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$200.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$169.1
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$222.4
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$135
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$14.03
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.4
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.88
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$57.04
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$44.48
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$335.33
Will Armenia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.37
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$192.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.4%+$56.35
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$65.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$25.91
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+147.6%+$56.6
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+129.2%+$176.67
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41.02
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+83.9%+$30.27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$135.18
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+76.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viking FK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.