TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,883 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked No57c6,729$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.483661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c6,075$4,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes42c5,928$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.8250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes45c3,261$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45712532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.579350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c1,442$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.542,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c1,356$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.522,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No59c1,291$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.3913662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c1,113$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17823632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes29c945.2$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes43c904.62$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c828.99$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.534,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c816.26$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.871,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No62c691.03$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.751,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes43c661.63$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes37c650.78$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.139929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes7c650$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.55928.8%17 W · 42 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a33…6410backed Yes42c647.62$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No56c543.78$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1225544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c530.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8b…4154backed Yes44c503.25$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes44c500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5813727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c464.89$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.551,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Yes42c335.71$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No72c323.37$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No58c317$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes44c313.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0911450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes43c301$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4115534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes19c292.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes43c290.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255160.8%31 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No57c290.7$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes43c290.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c277.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes44c272.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Yes16c262.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c249.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes43c239.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.220840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes41c238.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.661546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Yes44c237.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No59c218.93$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6822335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes14c215$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes12c199.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f40…af55backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes6c164.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd612…0926backed Yes43c159$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes44c150.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.382025%5 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6627846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes44c149.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6528531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes43c126.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed No58c122.34$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6977…e8d1backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes44c114.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No59c102.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4220763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.929339.8%37 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No57c93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9925348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed No78c92.07$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Yes44c91.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes43c91.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1511850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes16c87.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No57c86.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No58c86.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes41c82.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3455654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f2…313bbacked Yes43c80.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes43c76.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.871850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c73.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f44…829ebacked No57c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No56c69.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.513953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307537.3%28 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No57c65.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.973243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No57c64.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.935444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No64c64.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf6…f951backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes43c60.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.861,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c95…9078backed No57c60.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.826554.7%145 W · 120 L-1.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.817047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes30c59.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes43c55.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9623250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes39c52.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.395633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No59c51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9135661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.