Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad73ff7534b1051e2dad167a0b1617ae20f64f20770ae8bf89a59a7a7290669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 772 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 24c | 33,516$8,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,043.79 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 22c | 27,663$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.15 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 46c | 21,208$9,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825.57 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 69c | 19,207$13,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.85 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked No | 25c | 16,977$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.89 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Yes | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.95 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 62c | 9,478$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.83 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 23c | 9,160$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.04 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…b413backed Yes | 71c | 8,980$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 8,882$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.88 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 17c | 8,666$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.84 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 8,506$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.44 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 7,915$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…000fbacked No | 17c | 7,810$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 60c | 7,445$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.42 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 78c | 6,872$5,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.52 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed No | 12c | 6,867$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.73 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 46c | 6,809$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.59 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 42c | 6,547$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.59 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 55c | 5,653$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.83 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.29 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 25c | 5,463$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.69 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 45c | 5,458$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.25 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 45c | 5,086$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.8 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed No | 47c | 5,017$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 42c | 4,464$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.66 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 2c | 4,172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…cf23backed Yes | 54c | 4,074$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 24c | 4,012$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.47 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 48c | 3,919$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.51 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…dbe3backed Yes | 56c | 3,799$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 15c | 3,737$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…a5c6backed No | 56c | 3,588$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 52c | 3,400$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.98 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 15c | 3,075$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.1 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 21c | 3,000$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.95 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 2,916$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.37 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,772$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Yes | 78c | 2,703$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.14 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.94 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 75c | 2,303$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.23 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Yes | 53c | 2,299$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 46c | 2,184$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 70c | 2,170$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.82 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…7f56backed Yes | 55c | 2,142$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…79d9backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.98 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 54c | 1,909$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.59 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 45c | 1,878$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.71 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 58c | 1,855$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.14 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…a351backed Yes | 76c | 1,794$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,787$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.25 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…3c9fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,518$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 34c | 1,512$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.67 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.97 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…8189backed Yes | 53c | 1,496$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 43c | 1,486$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.14 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 8c | 1,446$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 28c | 1,355$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 58c | 1,350$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.3 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1069backed Yes | 79c | 1,323$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,316$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.54 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…c83cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Yes | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 77c | 1,294$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,249$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 76c | 1,249$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.64 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 1,243$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,233$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.33 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 38c | 1,229$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.76 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,200$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 19c | 1,200$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 39c | 1,197$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.17 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 1,179$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 22c | 1,173$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 76c | 1,141$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,140$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 71c | 1,051$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 28c | 1,027$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 23c | 1,020$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…8961backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 24c | 999.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed No | 46c | 999$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes | 69c | 987.04$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.