Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd82f13e633448c85e5c79428afcbf2b15bdb1e3c9f6ddbea62cb164f6fb23e

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $204,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $179,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes	16c	23,525$3,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,651.75	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Yes	3c	7,500$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.5	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	8c	5,618$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.07	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes	4c	5,139$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.56	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Yes	17c	4,731$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.79	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	75c	4,669$3,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.66	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	2c	3,679$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x659f…a5c6backed Yes	29c	3,448$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	11c	3,071$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.36	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	28c	2,820$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.73	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eec…6b3dbacked No	71c	2,817$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.9	115	53%61 W · 54 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	2,800$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.1	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	14c	2,453$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.36	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes	4c	2,394$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.66	243	44.9%109 W · 134 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	13c	2,152$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.45	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	2,113$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.15	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	26c	2,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5094backed Yes	3c	1,951$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	3c	1,848$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.87	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0ad8backed Yes	12c	1,796$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.88	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes	13c	1,692$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.88	83	18.1%15 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	15c	1,630$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.31	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	2c	1,494$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.38	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes	13c	1,427$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.79	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	73c	1,381$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.98	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	18c	1,360$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.8	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…7222backed Yes	15c	1,355$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15d…0fa4backed Yes	16c	1,231$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe209…9ad3backed Yes	28c	1,073$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes	14c	1,002$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.25	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847a…0968backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	995.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	3c	917.96$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b2…f329backed Yes	15c	906.22$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.49	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	71c	905.35$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.88	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7837…8f97backed Yes	16c	904.19$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.67	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes	13c	872.25$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.33	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	28c	811.14$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes	26c	769.23$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…d620backed Yes	25c	742$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.71	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+128%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	10c	705.2$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.91	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	14c	686.04$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.83	89	30.3%27 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b79…fe82backed Yes	15c	659.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+54%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	75c	655$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.73	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	11c	653.21$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.85	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	15c	649.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	17c	647.86$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.28	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	608.16$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.61	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…34bcbacked Yes	15c	603.6$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.29	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes	10c	552$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.88	245	37.1%91 W · 154 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Yes	13c	502.5$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.89	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…9defbacked Yes	20c	501.05$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f02…c78fbacked No	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed Yes	4c	499.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	485.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Yes	15c	482.9$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.44	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e4…c72fbacked Yes	15c	468.87$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5184…1363backed No	73c	465.47$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.68	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Yes	26c	458.33$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes	12c	455.73$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.69	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	12c	453$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a03…b538backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576f…8abdbacked Yes	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb380…921ebacked Yes	28c	378.32$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.41	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	21c	356.23$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.5	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	28c	348$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.44	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	27c	348$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.96	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes	14c	348$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.55	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33b9…0231backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	38.2%63 W · 102 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dc…6bbabacked Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	28c	302$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.3	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe339…a166backed Yes	10c	300.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-43%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	14c	299.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.28	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x525e…e98fbacked Yes	14c	285.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…21bebacked Yes	6c	285.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	28c	284.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.9	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…535ebacked Yes	16c	270.68$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7250…50d3backed Yes	19c	264.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+38%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d5…d263backed Yes	14c	253.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes	11c	250$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed Yes	15c	248$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes	26c	236.47$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.48	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes	13c	231.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	9c	214.03$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	15c	213$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes	26c	207.83$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.02	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked Yes	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6235…7a5ebacked Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Yes	14c	199.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	10c	193.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd11c…af88backed Yes	16c	189.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event