TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35b2…f329

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
Spread: Raptors (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$22.73
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.51
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.17
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.81
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.97
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$24.19
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$29.45
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$29.27
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$30.15
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.71
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.37
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.82
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$214.17
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.76
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$217.36
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.62
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.49
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.76
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.71
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.29
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.2
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.13
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$110.48
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$145.26
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.75
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$57.87
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$143.07
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.04
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.51
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$341.63
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$3,722.32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$342.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$315.95
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$733.52
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$172.2
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$7.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$188.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$379.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$981.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$783.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.91
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$95.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.37
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.74
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.53
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.