NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa121f61794c1b786a1cb369053a6cdf9807027c2702ffeacfcc7531f8c2514b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof 76ers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 48c | 84,456$40,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,834.83 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers | 54c | 45,773$24,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,627.17 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Heat | 47c | 41,917$19,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,216.11 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers | 52c | 35,794$18,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,735.44 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 76ers | 52c | 31,028$16,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,134.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed 76ers | 53c | 30,383$16,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,102.76 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Heat | 47c | 20,644$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,941.28 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 44c | 17,320$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 59c | 16,262$9,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,740.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat | 46c | 8,456$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.24 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers | 53c | 8,181$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.7 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Heat | 46c | 7,766$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.88 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 47c | 6,333$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Heat | 49c | 6,031$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 52c | 5,901$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 52c | 4,024$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.28 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed 76ers | 54c | 3,940$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.8 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked 76ers | 52c | 3,940$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 47c | 2,954$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.8 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed 76ers | 52c | 2,650$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.81 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Heat | 47c | 2,398$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.76 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 76ers | 54c | 2,030$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Heat | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,961$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.34 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,926$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Heat | 47c | 1,901$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.24 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,872$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.2 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed 76ers | 53c | 1,862$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.75 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed 76ers | 52c | 1,598$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.19 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,570$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 52c | 1,539$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Heat | 48c | 1,328$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.07 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 48c | 1,305$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.36 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed 76ers | 53c | 1,124$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.71 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed 76ers | 51c | 899.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.49 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked 76ers | 52c | 754.66$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Heat | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 48c | 689.16$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Heat | 52c | 680.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 51c | 664.92$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed 76ers | 53c | 557.58$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.52 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Heat | 47c | 557.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 38c | 547.13$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 51c | 501.33$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 76ers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 51c | 450.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Heat | 47c | 435.51$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed 76ers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed 76ers | 52c | 378.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed 76ers | 53c | 377.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed 76ers | 54c | 368.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed 76ers | 52c | 359.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 50c | 299.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 47c | 284.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers | 53c | 258.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Heat | 48c | 246.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Heat | 47c | 224.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed 76ers | 53c | 223.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed 76ers | 54c | 220.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Heat | 46c | 219.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked 76ers | 53c | 213.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed 76ers | 52c | 206.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed 76ers | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers | 40c | 202.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Heat | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed 76ers | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Heat | 48c | 196.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed 76ers | 53c | 185.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed 76ers | 53c | 185.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked 76ers | 53c | 185.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers | 55c | 183.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Heat | 47c | 179.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed 76ers | 53c | 172.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed 76ers | 50c | 172.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Heat | 47c | 148.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Heat | 49c | 125.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Heat | 47c | 122.76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 46c | 118.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…54d1backed Heat | 47c | 113.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked 76ers | 54c | 103.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Heat | 53c | 101.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Heat | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Heat | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked 76ers | 50c | 98.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba0…811dbacked 76ers | 54c | 98.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Heat | 47c | 98.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed 76ers | 67c | 96.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked 76ers | 51c | 95.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Heat | 48c | 95.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed 76ers | 52c | 94.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Heat | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked 76ers | 53c | 92.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked 76ers | 42c | 91.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked 76ers | 52c | 87.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed 76ers | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked 76ers | 32c | 86.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. HeatHeat won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Under won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.