TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c29,990$14,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,3951,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c15,781$8,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,587.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Under52c7,577$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23a5…be47backed Under52c4,925$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under53c3,831$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.7215349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee1…0404backed Under53c3,316$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under54c3,083$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.1627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4105547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under51c2,475$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.911,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c2,448$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.231,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,384$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Over49c2,261$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.012951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over47c2,137$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.3531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over49c2,134$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.6917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c2,046$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Under53c1,977$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.196352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over46c1,970$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.296939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over48c1,901$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.5314940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,772$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over50c1,765$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.3710651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,280$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over47c1,136$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.1125641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,071$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee4…18efbacked Over45c1,048$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43265762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under54c738.82$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8661740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c671.79$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over47c628.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Over46c619.55$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c599.94$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9768645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over59c577.6$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under54c548.8$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4515952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c547.24$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c515.7$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.852,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c409.4$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.321,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.761,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c292.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over48c287.3$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.96250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under52c246.4$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2792058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over49c241.23$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.223446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c237.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.861,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over44c226.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over45c218.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5252146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over45c218.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5243447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over47c218.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.762835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over48c208.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0314243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c199.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Over48c174.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.733250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Under38c173.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over44c145.59$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.511,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c137.49$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6644747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c135.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.951,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over62c133.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c130.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over47c121.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.371,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under54c98.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3118157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Under52c98.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2831540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under52c98.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2822044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c97.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0da…7379backed Under52c95.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.941050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over51c95.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2f3…deb4backed Over49c95.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over48c93.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9219348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Under52c88.65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.557557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a41…f2e3backed Over49c83.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over48c78.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8222942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over47c66.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3920049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b81…68bebacked Over49c59.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.252646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over63c57.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2360049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…e982backed Over48c51.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over49c50.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2365630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c47.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over45c43.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.733442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c42.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4652552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under40c41.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under52c41.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7322143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over49c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Under52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7227059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under52c37.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1835551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbed…6221backed Under54c35.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Over36c28.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under52c26.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7926450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over52c21.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c20.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c19.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.181,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e63…c114backed Under54c19.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.