NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9093156180d8b71586da5504ad11ee7c240373ee6edd35a114f1fc859911e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 10,162$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.19 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 48c | 9,986$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.49 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 6,629$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.85 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 5,648$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 4,997$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.99 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 49c | 4,279$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.95 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 4,277$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.61 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 51c | 3,811$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.98 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 3,178$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 3,091$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.27 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 3,032$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 13c | 2,464$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 54c | 2,458$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.54 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 2,450$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.2 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,970$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.62 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,914$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.69 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 52c | 1,894$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 38c | 1,394$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.32 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Over | 46c | 1,290$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Over | 45c | 1,019$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.58 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 60c | 999.91$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.97 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 995.83$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.11 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 51c | 989.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…569ebacked Under | 56c | 988.24$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Over | 49c | 956.86$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.86 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 62c | 916$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 892.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…0f35backed Under | 52c | 830.52$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 49c | 823$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 798.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 783.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 716.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 58c | 671.05$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.84 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 670.79$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.39 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 636.92$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 68c | 602.83$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 30c | 596.68$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 52c | 591.01$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.69 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 50c | 492.5$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 12c | 437.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Over | 43c | 424.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 421.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…602cbacked Under | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Under | 52c | 378.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 372.62$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…f37dbacked Under | 55c | 358.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 48c | 345.16$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Under | 77c | 343.19$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 293.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 293.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 37c | 266.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…5cd8backed Over | 67c | 266.2$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 263.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 56c | 254.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 242.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 37c | 236.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…6463backed Over | 42c | 234.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 56c | 232.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 70c | 226.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 61c | 210.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 61c | 210.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 56c | 181.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 58c | 180.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 174.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 55c | 170.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 42c | 167.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 40c | 165.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 164.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 151.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 58c | 150.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 150.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 49c | 148.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 41c | 136.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 38c | 133.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 68c | 130.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 57c | 124.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 29c | 120.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 51c | 115.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 49c | 114.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 48c | 110.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 12c | 105.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 48c | 105.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 40c | 99.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed Under | 52c | 98.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under | 57c | 94.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 41c | 93.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 36c | 93.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 53c | 92.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 43c | 91.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Over | 35c | 89.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 43c | 85.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 84.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 61c | 84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…ecfabacked Under | 50c | 78.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…b8ffbacked Under | 52c | 75.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. HeatHeat won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Under won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.