NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77921b61a4f56c6ce461afa8093bb22de1290d6a6555e7f78acb7465d94218b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof 76ers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,590,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,812,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,590,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed 76ers | 55c | 450,474$246,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246,380.81 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Heat | 44c | 339,984$149,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,391.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 45c | 282,354$127,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,981.51 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 76ers | 56c | 227,546$127,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,430.89 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked 76ers | 56c | 194,625$108,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,928.6 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…3b60backed Heat | 45c | 183,238$82,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,780.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Heat | 45c | 152,012$68,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,606.68 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers | 56c | 131,949$73,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,891.2 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Heat | 44c | 115,798$50,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,846.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Heat | 44c | 112,379$49,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,932.18 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed 76ers | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Heat | 44c | 99,259$43,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,585 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat | 40c | 87,898$34,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,042.71 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Heat | 56c | 86,080$47,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,092.21 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Heat | 44c | 82,987$36,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,472.53 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed 76ers | 56c | 78,817$44,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,137.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed 76ers | 56c | 78,733$43,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,923.06 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…ca77backed 76ers | 56c | 61,366$34,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked 76ers | 34c | 57,351$19,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,477.56 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed 76ers | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed 76ers | 0c | 49,997$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed 76ers | 2c | 46,785$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.14 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 76ers | 63c | 41,164$26,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,108.08 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed 76ers | 74c | 39,586$29,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,328.74 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Heat | 59c | 37,811$22,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,640.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 35c | 37,767$13,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,368.77 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed 76ers | 56c | 35,581$19,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,925.4 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed 76ers | 57c | 34,597$19,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,824.03 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Heat | 41c | 32,608$13,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,151.66 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers | 47c | 30,655$14,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,467.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 76ers | 55c | 28,659$15,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,762.4 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 51c | 27,335$13,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,394.55 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 49c | 27,242$13,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,945.21 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Heat | 64c | 25,735$16,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,162.42 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked 76ers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 71c | 22,806$16,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,192.19 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…8bd4backed Heat | 44c | 22,534$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,663.93 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed 76ers | 57c | 21,800$12,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,425.94 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Heat | 44c | 21,173$9,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,859.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Heat | 45c | 20,438$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,241 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 44c | 20,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,299.93 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed 76ers | 55c | 19,830$10,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,950.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked 76ers | 55c | 19,703$10,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,836.65 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked 76ers | 56c | 18,570$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.58 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed 76ers | 55c | 16,836$9,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,282.85 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Heat | 62c | 16,365$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.98 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed 76ers | 51c | 16,354$8,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,291.67 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed 76ers | 31c | 16,261$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed 76ers | 56c | 15,763$8,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,827.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers | 56c | 15,638$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.89 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Heat | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…e748backed 76ers | 55c | 14,882$8,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,185.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Heat | 45c | 14,777$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.49 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed 76ers | 56c | 14,693$8,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,287.12 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 43c | 14,230$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.77 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed 76ers | 56c | 14,170$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,881.53 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 55c | 13,528$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.66 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed 76ers | 55c | 13,508$7,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,429.34 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed 76ers | 25c | 13,278$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.7 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 47c | 13,127$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed 76ers | 50c | 12,851$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.16 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Heat | 41c | 12,583$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,373.05 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Heat | 72c | 12,326$8,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.72 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed 76ers | 62c | 11,786$7,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,307.32 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 76ers | 67c | 11,133$7,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,429.68 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heat | 44c | 10,893$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Heat | 46c | 10,833$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837.46 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked 76ers | 50c | 10,646$5,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295.84 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Heat | 48c | 10,438$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.18 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 46c | 10,372$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,645.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed 76ers | 44c | 10,179$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.79 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed 76ers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked 76ers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Heat | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Heat | 44c | 10,000$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.08 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Heat | 43c | 9,859$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.68 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…4c19backed Heat | 45c | 9,852$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed 76ers | 50c | 9,692$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.21 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Heat | 46c | 9,088$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,868.84 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat | 44c | 8,911$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.77 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed 76ers | 56c | 8,797$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.08 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed 76ers | 70c | 8,777$6,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,143.98 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed 76ers | 41c | 8,506$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.6 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers | 51c | 7,961$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.84 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Heat | 57c | 7,957$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.1 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed 76ers | 50c | 7,955$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.01 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed 76ers | 56c | 7,917$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.47 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Heat | 45c | 7,881$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.66 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed 76ers | 45c | 7,689$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.76 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked 76ers | 47c | 7,326$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.45 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Heat | 43c | 7,319$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Heat | 61c | 7,296$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.38 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers | 55c | 7,154$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.5 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Heat | 63c | 7,027$4,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Heat | 44c | 6,888$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.62 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed 76ers | 56c | 6,768$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed 76ers | 57c | 6,568$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.74 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 76ers | 44c | 6,420$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.25 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Under won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.