TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,721

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed Under49c9,999$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,049.5149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under54c9,898$5,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,553.2116346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over63c9,713$6,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,115.194,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under37c8,817$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over50c5,919$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.3112450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c5,558$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7791,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c4,853$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.6284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over51c4,353$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.937755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c4,077$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c1,974$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.061,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Over50c1,948$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,931$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.3864944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,535$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c1,382$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.382,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c1,306$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.452,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under51c1,099$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4615844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,083$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under46c965.55$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.722,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c917.83$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.111,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over47c833.36$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6810651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c802.43$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.431,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under56c799.21$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over51c791.24$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9319346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c790.46$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.432,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over49c699.92$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Over46c694.82$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.012133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over64c654.15$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.2762047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over50c625.48$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.7454246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c623.93$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over56c607.9$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9965872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c550$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over47c541.8$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c530.17$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.124,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over48c446.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c413.02$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.091,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over46c407.83$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.761,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c397.79$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.91,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over46c368.45$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over47c347.18$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3456447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over44c340.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c308.24$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over63c299.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18925846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over49c296.25$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8517643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Over50c248.22$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c231.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over46c214.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over47c209.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over50c204.88$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.441,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624b…5066backed Under49c197$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.471258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over53c186.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8314243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…edeabacked Over52c181.24$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0c…0f28backed Under49c181.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.431442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over49c179.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Under56c176.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.64843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under37c172.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.741,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over44c160.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over46c152.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9650948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over43c150.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.561,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c147.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under50c132.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over46c113.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4713349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under53c112.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over50c106.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over50c106.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6919135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c103.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c102.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.473,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Over48c101.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.256435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57f1…5b0fbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Under32c99.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9914330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Under50c98.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2515357.5%88 W · 65 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ab…4e8dbacked Under51c96.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.329340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under42c93.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4327138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Over44c92.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5413052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c86.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5921843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over54c85.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.311,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.622942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Under49c79.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3911558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1169…26b3backed Over47c79.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over50c78.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.47454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c76.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3648152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over51c71.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.641,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044d…e6f7backed Under54c63.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3712256.6%69 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over46c58.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9226450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under51c58.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over51c58.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.647652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c56.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.658754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over46c53.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.756825%17 W · 51 L-12.6wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under48c52.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2416436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under49c52.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6232752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under50c52.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3638751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over51c48.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6314144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over52c47.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.634450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over52c47.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.634748.9%23 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.