NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7eb6729df66b7ca666e491ecd32e48304d3cf87f2221d080ac8a0f7b2c08d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564c…f4a7backed Over | 0c | 6,176$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 691.14$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…0f35backed Under | 64c | 396.06$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 46c | 214.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 51c | 191.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 48c | 191.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Over | 17c | 179.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Under | 48c | 111.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…fe8bbacked Under | 56c | 86.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 59c | 83.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 48c | 82.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 67.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 47c | 63.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 41c | 56.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…428fbacked Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 59c | 41.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9a9bbacked Under | 59c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 126.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. HeatHeat won
- 76ers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 125.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Under won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 13.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.