Fifa International · resolved market
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810354c62431246e10c094cb357e8209994a467145fc9801d2f1965c8ac5f3ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 1c | 21,198$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 7c | 14,531$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.09 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 1c | 11,746$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 10c | 10,078$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.4 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 8,333$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.11 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…bc90backed Yes | 8c | 6,990$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,413$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 9c | 6,150$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.63 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 8c | 5,155$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.13 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…f901backed Yes | 8c | 5,042$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 4,399$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,091$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.93 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,040$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…45fdbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +245.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,955$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 7c | 3,559$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.17 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,080$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed Yes | 7c | 3,018$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 7c | 2,939$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 10c | 2,829$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,502$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 8c | 2,499$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,981$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 2c | 1,936$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,891$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…a81cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,740$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…f329backed Yes | 7c | 1,722$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 5c | 1,649$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f84…f9e2backed Yes | 5c | 1,599$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,580$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,564$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,446$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 4c | 1,380$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…65d6backed Yes | 8c | 1,328$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…9c18backed Yes | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 9c | 1,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,115$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…4624backed Yes | 9c | 1,068$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 7c | 1,042$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 5c | 1,040$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,035$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…bc05backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 973.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 4c | 973.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d7…1c40backed Yes | 8c | 967.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 7c | 898.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffa…e625backed Yes | 11c | 839.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 5c | 829.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a5…2d69backed Yes | 4c | 766$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Yes | 9c | 761.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 9c | 749.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 10c | 724.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3038…e902backed Yes | 7c | 631.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 4c | 631.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 585.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 6c | 572.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 7c | 540.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Yes | 7c | 531.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…5d26backed Yes | 11c | 531.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 8.8%8 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 511.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 5c | 503.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…1a92backed Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…34aebacked Yes | 11c | 499.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 6c | 499.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ac73backed Yes | 4c | 474.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 8c | 421.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…0cd3backed Yes | 8c | 421.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Yes | 7c | 402.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…b035backed Yes | 7c | 378.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 376.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes | 11c | 365.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 11c | 325.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 8c | 310.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 10c | 299.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…8527backed Yes | 8c | 299.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed Yes | 7c | 273.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 7c | 272.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 266.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 4c | 254.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 9c | 245.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 5c | 229.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 11c | 228.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a2b1backed Yes | 5c | 227.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 8c | 216$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…7028backed Yes | 10c | 208.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 8c | 200.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.