TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP24c7,954$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.8532348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Gentle Mates78c5,133$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.9611547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NIP48c3,112$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates65c2,380$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.224,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates71c2,225$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.296,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Gentle Mates80c1,550$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Gentle Mates28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.2861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates77c1,497$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.922,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NIP21c1,138$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2835643%153 W · 203 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP56c1,075$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.15,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed NIP56c1,061$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.295352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates63c933.93$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.611,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed NIP32c835.68$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4825634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates78c800$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates80c731.74$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.321,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked NIP17c673.86$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8334147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed NIP28c670.79$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2351252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed Gentle Mates36c660.29$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.7111940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked NIP42c591.36$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5894945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NIP25c553.39$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Gentle Mates60c527.46$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0355950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed NIP50c499.64$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2531642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked NIP22c497.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.486934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Gentle Mates52c466.84$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5111247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP43c388.36$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.984,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Gentle Mates49c329.14$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates41c312.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.982,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Gentle Mates46c307.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7711240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates24c294.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.013,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed NIP77c275.37$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.039758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP47c267.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2739248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e29…4a2ebacked Gentle Mates78c253.75$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.821741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed NIP49c237.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.333429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates48c222.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.065,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates78c214.03$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.35,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed NIP16c211.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Gentle Mates45c201.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0624649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed Gentle Mates53c184.26$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.072552%13 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked NIP53c182.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1978963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed NIP56c173.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3637445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3966…c918backed Gentle Mates61c163.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.451752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked NIP42c138.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.912147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked NIP18c135.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7620145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked NIP24c134.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.467758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates51c117.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.597,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NIP27c112.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Gentle Mates44c108.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6623653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Gentle Mates79c100.64$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1562350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked NIP70c99.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3220851.9%108 W · 100 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.531852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf106…8dc9backed Gentle Mates57c94.71$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Gentle Mates52c94.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked NIP36c89.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.37948.1%38 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed NIP55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6554839.8%218 W · 330 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates58c87.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.642,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Gentle Mates43c83.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.371,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed NIP49c79.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9733352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed NIP75c71.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.951,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates63c67.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.184,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb08…06acbacked NIP35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.228351.8%43 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates80c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f9…54dbbacked NIP57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked NIP20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021519.1%41 W · 174 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Gentle Mates44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2847047.9%225 W · 245 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gentle Mates71c49.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.541,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed NIP55c48.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7625042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Gentle Mates43c48.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5328549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Gentle Mates30c48.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9170036.1%253 W · 447 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5757…cac7backed Gentle Mates67c47.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed NIP63c46.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3518754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Gentle Mates45c41.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.876855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked NIP69c41.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.451,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed Gentle Mates43c38.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0916338.7%63 W · 100 L-13.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Gentle Mates30c36.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4211344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked NIP56c36.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1640148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed NIP56c35.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8121052.4%110 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Gentle Mates79c30.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5441645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed NIP59c30.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1420367%136 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Gentle Mates34c30.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8847260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked NIP49c29.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45052%26 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efb…68a1backed NIP57c26.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b2…f329backed Gentle Mates77c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed NIP47c24.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.567245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed Gentle Mates71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.810753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Gentle Mates69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.231328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Gentle Mates54c19.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0510950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.