CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ca18ab982517ea457942e2bdfbb5960f3f78bb8c621f43c51ffa4609abc9bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 66c | 1,240$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 70c | 1,074$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 70c | 942.22$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Over | 54c | 804.91$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.39 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 45c | 694$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.54 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 35c | 597.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Under | 53c | 436.57$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.29 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 49c | 395.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 54c | 270.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 25c | 214$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 205.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 34c | 202.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 28c | 198.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Over | 47c | 191.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 27c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 27c | 146$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 39c | 122.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Under | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Over | 71c | 105.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Under | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 48c | 99.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Over | 48c | 93.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 36c | 72.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 54c | 40.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…bb7ebacked Under | 56c | 39.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…3ed3backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 44c | 29.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 55c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.