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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NIPof Gentle Mates, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a14…d748backed Gentle Mates58c8,935$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.7457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP63c4,255$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.72,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Gentle Mates60c3,239$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.3320249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP47c3,084$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.683,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed NIP50c2,707$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.935352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Gentle Mates37c2,566$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.6945457%259 W · 195 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Gentle Mates52c1,676$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.237257.8%215 W · 157 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed NIP54c1,636$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.1439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NIP64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.162,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed NIP61c1,550$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.851,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP47c1,354$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.062,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed NIP67c1,251$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9119048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates34c1,077$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.224,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP61c1,066$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.46,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed NIP68c1,008$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5625640.2%103 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates8c980.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.428,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Gentle Mates54c972.13$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.5936042.8%154 W · 206 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Gentle Mates20c899.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed Gentle Mates25c851.44$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0120332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP57c734.51$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.544,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked NIP65c701.48$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.921,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed NIP71c694.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3611940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP72c663.21$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.673,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Gentle Mates40c596$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.425634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed NIP75c595.34$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2526675.2%200 W · 66 L+24.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Gentle Mates26c592.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5149646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed NIP67c577.33$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7255843.2%241 W · 317 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP67c541.96$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.872,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates29c515.26$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.925,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates8c501.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Gentle Mates14c484$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Gentle Mates53c431.86$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9752947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Gentle Mates55c407.73$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1910951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates29c407.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.085,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed NIP65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14078348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed NIP48c390.83$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2311247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed NIP75c386.34$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5929831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed Gentle Mates30c380.75$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.825650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP56c367.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.915,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Gentle Mates29c280$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3731328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed NIP65c239.19$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.791353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Gentle Mates36c227.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9bf…4bebbacked Gentle Mates47c206.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.824047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked NIP70c203.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4710447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Gentle Mates30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed NIP54c194.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4624649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed NIP49c189.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.182552%13 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Gentle Mates18c184.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2822734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Gentle Mates20c184.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.821,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Gentle Mates53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP56c170.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.421,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates26c165.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.661,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Gentle Mates31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.664439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gentle Mates34c155.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811,55033.9%525 W · 1,025 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Gentle Mates37c151.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Gentle Mates53c148.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.726643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked NIP54c145.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.136151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP49c142.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.382,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Gentle Mates42c138.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2719554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Gentle Mates23c138$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.322821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed NIP72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2460858.2%354 W · 254 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Gentle Mates27c136$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.267321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed NIP72c135.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3836554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates9c130.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.791,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked NIP76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1244641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Gentle Mates25c125$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6536334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed NIP49c113.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.046248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Gentle Mates53c111.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4318754%101 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Gentle Mates26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.618342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Gentle Mates44c107.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.28643%37 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Gentle Mates26c104$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4221739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d0…6450backed NIP48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.483450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a0…e774backed NIP60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Gentle Mates20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Gentle Mates39c99.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.532147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Gentle Mates30c93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7736845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x055a…b50ebacked Gentle Mates53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.594443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4ec6…e52cbacked NIP60c88.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.388360.2%50 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed NIP54c84.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.679758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates31c82.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.262,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Gentle Mates28c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed NIP65c79.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.759842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebcd…5c0bbacked Gentle Mates25c78.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+114.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da9…0a78backed Gentle Mates14c78.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.051560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates36c72.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.274,13250.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L+72.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd023…fa38backed Gentle Mates39c69.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed NIP62c66.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9549376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed Gentle Mates52c64.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7741645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Gentle Mates40c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.113950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked NIP69c55.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.492646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Gentle Mates29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3745240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Gentle Mates29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3757935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed NIP77c51.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8512273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Gentle Mates37c49.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.061,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked NIP46c48.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1340148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Gentle Mates53c47.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1926037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked NIP49c46.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5413952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Gentle Mates36c43.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6935147.9%168 W · 183 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Gentle Mates60c40.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Gentle Mates60c40.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.412138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.