TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5757…cac7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.94
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$38.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.14
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.22
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.88
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.18
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.77
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.28
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.83
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.71
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.8
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$7.69
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.29
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.78
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Parks (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.82
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.62
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$52.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$32.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.