TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c17,767$6,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under42c10,556$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,071.1817557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Over76c9,619$7,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,310.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c8,779$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.9776842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over66c7,814$5,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.6210739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c7,102$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over36c6,938$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.683735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over77c6,486$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.322466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over65c6,000$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.992277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c5,746$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.474,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Over46c5,203$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51cc…a4e2backed Under38c4,027$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under40c2,819$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.132,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over78c2,694$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.44161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over74c2,500$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.999055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over68c2,418$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.229660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under50c2,129$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over78c1,916$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.772157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over46c1,560$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.819550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under40c1,484$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.782166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over50c1,455$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.513630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over77c1,281$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.515271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under54c1,261$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over63c1,247$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.4532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under37c1,142$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.8727552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under37c1,137$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.4240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over17c1,118$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.044938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over46c1,005$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.311643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over28c947.59$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.825935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c850.92$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.562,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c841.65$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under25c764$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5734822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over63c710$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.274768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over12c680.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6713721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Over78c643.25$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7410058%58 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under23c640$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c586.95$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.951,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over73c539.07$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.528445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over6c509.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.994037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under22c468.41$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under24c457.3$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5522146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…50e0backed Over78c444.06$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.371668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under71c431.47$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.946160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over75c425.22$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.111,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over78c423.03$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.971855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over32c395.67$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6116731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over35c384.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.624136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Over41c352.9$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.692138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over64c340.3$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.741040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under39c320.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.088757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under24c317.82$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.54650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e6…3cd2backed Over25c308$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e0…97b0backed Over9c303.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under66c298.37$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0824052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over76c295.68$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over34c295.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under23c276.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed Over46c275.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.681010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-81.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c266.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over61c254.56$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.284858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under23c252$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0427752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over45c249.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.494348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over41c246.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6310939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5757…cac7backed Over73c236.66$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over25c229.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8341260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under42c228.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over78c226.79$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.894557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over77c222.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.623360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Over11c214.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaa…db37backed Over11c210.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Under68c194.84$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.47047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over77c194.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.972828.6%8 W · 20 L-9.1wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-54.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over77c192.73$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.415866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Over77c192.12$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.934468.2%30 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0454…859ebacked Over77c189.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under24c186.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8813846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Over78c185.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.942646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.819330.1%28 W · 65 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6115…ab1fbacked Over55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over60c169.68$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8228456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under39c167.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…70c5backed Over77c166.5$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.212951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under67c162.48$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.622240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over45c149.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c147.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9130059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c144.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2955654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over39c144.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4836545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under23c143.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1513132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Under25c137.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.14650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Over54c130.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Over76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over76c129.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over46c128.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.025032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over78c126.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6828654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under55c123.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.