Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e5a5799c2ad7238e28c8403a915ffe92117407a06bd6f35327d1de5790f01e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Ham United FCof Crystal Palace FC, West Ham United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 5,504$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.32 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Crystal Palace FC | 16c | 2,935$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 2,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Crystal Palace FC | 16c | 2,243$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Crystal Palace FC | 14c | 1,137$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…f49ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 889.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Crystal Palace FC | 16c | 370.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 339.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Crystal Palace FC | 16c | 274.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 264.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 206.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 196.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 191.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Crystal Palace FC | 16c | 183.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 168.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…7505backed Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 158.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Crystal Palace FC | 13c | 156.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Crystal Palace FC | 18c | 132.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 74.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Crystal Palace FC | 15c | 72.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Crystal Palace FC | 17c | 61.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.