TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over50c72,696$36,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,444.5116040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Under50c67,880$33,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,939.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde06…f5bdbacked Over53c67,142$35,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,365.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under48c40,000$19,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,600977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c32,358$15,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,736.8317557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over51c29,116$14,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,712.1920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c22,644$11,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,762.222774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c20,852$9,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,040.422,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c19,412$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,900.1213630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c13,648$6,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,926.876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c13,330$7,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,251.716,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c10,298$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.093369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over51c9,497$4,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,843.293647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under49c8,567$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c7,061$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under50c5,819$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,928.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c5,152$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.3616651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,084$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.461,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.584860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over52c3,735$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Over40c3,029$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.499660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Over51c2,746$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c2,586$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.3839555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under49c2,374$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c2,247$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.0254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over51c2,093$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.6610739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under48c2,018$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.531450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0109055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9814258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under49c1,978$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.974367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under49c1,971$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.151866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over51c1,941$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.014533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9701338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over40c1,576$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9519235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under53c1,432$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over51c1,332$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.422748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c1,183$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.292334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.988756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Under49c1,050$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c1,040$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.2340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c1,040$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.2327552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over44c999.95$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.981625%4 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over2c995.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Under50c973.9$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c954.04$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c922.99$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2255751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over27c858.78$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.455935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under51c703.59$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.762236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c652.58$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.936451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c603.57$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.272,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce07…dac4backed Under48c601.02$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea1…3183backed Under49c589.12$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea9…0924backed Under50c586.15$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.211233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over44c578.87$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.75650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over51c572.65$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.055238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over34c562.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.796541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under48c521$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over50c517.3$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c508.25$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.072,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under48c499.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.996350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over52c480$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.62755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.22744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.657847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under67c462.98$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.351,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under56c436.38$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.772166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c404.9$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5569851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over51c399.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.836852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c399$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Under72c390.76$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.82864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over20c380.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1613721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1222242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5124052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…d888backed Over51c367.61$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c356.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over16c344.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.082347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over48c338.61$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8718841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under48c336.34$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.68259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c311.91$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6528456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under56c308.37$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.958757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over53c308.06$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2711449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98c9…e341backed Under49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c295$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4516731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Over53c291.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5210148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.517250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under56c288.46$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.921855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.593650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.595648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Over52c283.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.622951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Under48c274.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over51c266.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.884630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89f9…b9c5backed Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under50c248.13$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2821254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.