TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$694,033
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$698,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,033 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Inner Circle Esports39c242,768$95,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,247.993438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed B861c135,401$82,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,293.2923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Inner Circle Esports43c55,946$23,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,847.9542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Inner Circle Esports38c51,616$19,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,588.7715245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked B861c45,000$27,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,55083652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked B863c33,554$21,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4157147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed B862c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.9172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed B862c27,000$16,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,39035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked B861c22,400$13,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,781.9812449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Inner Circle Esports37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.9725842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked B863c19,556$12,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,235.7275452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdffe…b4d3backed Inner Circle Esports0c17,391$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3914630.8%45 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed B864c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.992759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked B862c9,888$6,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.4432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed B862c9,772$6,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.362853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Inner Circle Esports37c9,688$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.563351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B862c8,691$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.392,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked B867c8,182$5,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Inner Circle Esports37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.9437157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Inner Circle Esports38c7,702$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.9119645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Inner Circle Esports37c7,500$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,77567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Inner Circle Esports38c7,231$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.9539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Inner Circle Esports51c6,282$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.51,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Inner Circle Esports37c5,773$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.0836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Inner Circle Esports37c5,388$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.171,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Inner Circle Esports18c5,360$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.6427041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Inner Circle Esports3c5,114$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.011330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Inner Circle Esports38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90075350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Inner Circle Esports33c4,487$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.781,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle Esports37c4,239$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.753,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed B860c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked B862c3,726$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.7464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B859c3,573$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.041,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed B862c3,333$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.547256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed B863c3,290$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.8487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports38c3,068$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.567,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B860c3,023$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.491,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Inner Circle Esports37c2,694$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.8420838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Inner Circle Esports30c2,693$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.5536742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports36c2,685$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.266,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Inner Circle Esports18c2,641$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed B862c2,572$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc02…aeabbacked B861c2,321$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.371741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb600…0424backed Inner Circle Esports37c2,263$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B860c2,251$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.5288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked B863c2,026$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.762,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Inner Circle Esports37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9935236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Inner Circle Esports37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.981,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed B860c1,931$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.6911143.2%48 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Inner Circle Esports37c1,924$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.8826952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B862c1,707$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.971,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed B863c1,552$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.2620946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed B862c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle Esports37c1,442$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2465346.9%306 W · 347 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x964d…2acdbacked Inner Circle Esports40c1,440$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Inner Circle Esports38c1,415$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.8211637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed B861c1,359$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.079554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…8ff7backed B861c1,302$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed B863c1,108$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0216546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed B864c1,070$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.0313453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed B861c1,048$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.766144.3%27 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Inner Circle Esports17c950.2$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.531,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked B868c942.87$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.58951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e271backed B863c914.29$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.566358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B858c909.44$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.215,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed B860c860.35$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2424262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Inner Circle Esports38c806.54$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8124339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d28…6d7abacked Inner Circle Esports47c804.43$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.231827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39ec…06d3backed B861c800$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked B860c776.99$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.81,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked B863c776.03$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.134946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Inner Circle Esports38c760.11$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8430527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed B863c674.54$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.588359%49 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Inner Circle Esports38c670.01$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7752236.8%192 W · 330 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed B877c641.75$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.999862.2%61 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Inner Circle Esports17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026737.3%25 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Inner Circle Esports37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Inner Circle Esports38c577.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5246340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…fab0backed Inner Circle Esports10c573.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.611010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-82.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed B862c537.46$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.234955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9dd…31f9backed Inner Circle Esports45c534.07$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed B862c516.71$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1742638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Inner Circle Esports37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed B861c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19560748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Inner Circle Esports38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906541.5%27 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed B862c488.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6750043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked B862c488.6$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.671,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Inner Circle Esports39c454.26$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.917051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle Esports37c449.03$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.145,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked B863c435.8$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0535550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Inner Circle Esports18c425.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0622734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Inner Circle Esports38c414.69$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5834146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e1…c852backed Inner Circle Esports30c411.64$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Inner Circle Esports39c406.13$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3925446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Inner Circle Esports11c401.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.843438.2%13 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Inner Circle Esports21c401.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1322534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed B863c399.69$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8968453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked B862c396.83$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.89146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed B862c394.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7318454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.