CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f62489dc615c71cfcfdf6e291c04ef67a29d770f4503dd38f047dda435e1ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 50c | 60,688$30,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,343.77 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 60,608$30,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,298.05 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Over | 50c | 10,133$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.41 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 50c | 2,992$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.99 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 50c | 2,037$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.68 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 50c | 1,114$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.78 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 902.06$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 52c | 754.74$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 51c | 534.12$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.72 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 50c | 463.66$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.83 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Under | 51c | 352.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 46c | 266.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 213.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 51c | 195.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 173.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Over | 22c | 164.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Over | 44c | 127.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc8…050ebacked Under | 78c | 122.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Over | 47c | 103.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 50c | 94.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 55c | 68.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 61c | 60.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 49c | 58.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 74c | 57.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…43b8backed Under | 51c | 57.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 60c | 56.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 50.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 51c | 45.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 45c | 40.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 53c | 38.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…599ebacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Under | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Under | 74c | 31.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 50c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 49c | 26.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…29f0backed Under | 51c | 26.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…94ffbacked Over | 49c | 25.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…454ebacked Over | 45c | 23.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e083backed Over | 46c | 23.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…aa7ebacked Over | 51c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.