TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd20f…2f35backed B856c14,267$8,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.798750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Inner Circle Esports56c5,689$3,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.3927740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Inner Circle Esports50c5,178$2,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.171,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports43c3,285$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.016,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Inner Circle Esports38c2,793$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.8114144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports77c2,195$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.097,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed B857c1,749$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.2412451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed B859c1,666$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.1737445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle Esports38c1,618$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.783,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B846c1,463$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.041,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B833c1,438$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.811,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Inner Circle Esports66c1,432$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.3219355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed B854c1,349$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.9288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed B831c1,108$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.4817857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked B859c1,052$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8239970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed B844c1,042$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.3987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed B855c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9941850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed B842c917.3$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.899850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Inner Circle Esports57c864.6$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.627156.3%40 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed B876c857.88$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.581855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked B859c829.49$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.864946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B843c821.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.11,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Inner Circle Esports63c771.73$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0165650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked B859c648.54$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.483778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Inner Circle Esports46c625.64$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2150947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed B851c591.07$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe163…9d33backed B857c545.55$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4235…69cbbacked Inner Circle Esports42c540.51$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.021450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Inner Circle Esports41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20523243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f19…7780backed B877c499.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Inner Circle Esports56c496.2$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4511452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Inner Circle Esports24c480.56$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.21,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Inner Circle Esports45c403$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3515245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Inner Circle Esports39c402.7$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4760838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Inner Circle Esports43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17253444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Inner Circle Esports43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17246749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle Esports44c399.51$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.572,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed B856c395.98$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9478348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Inner Circle Esports65c361$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3431452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports30c346.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.042,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed B841c334.49$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.664,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Inner Circle Esports44c329.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed B848c329.14$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5761837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Inner Circle Esports25c320.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4918426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Inner Circle Esports79c319.7$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.831,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed B839c317.92$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9350846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports31c308.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.135,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Inner Circle Esports38c302.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.882,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle Esports78c300.05$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.775,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Inner Circle Esports37c300$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11033241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed B862c299.32$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9225251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Inner Circle Esports25c276$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6934147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked B858c253.66$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1916344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Inner Circle Esports54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13567651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked B875c241.58$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Inner Circle Esports43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5816451.8%85 W · 79 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Inner Circle Esports57c222.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6318342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Inner Circle Esports42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed B852c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9923851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B856c192.89$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.282,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1448…b30bbacked B837c192.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.239546.3%44 W · 51 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Inner Circle Esports28c166$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.488051.3%41 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Inner Circle Esports29c154.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3164046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Inner Circle Esports44c152.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6722252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Inner Circle Esports41c144$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8818545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle Esports41c142.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.292,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked B856c137.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5484037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Inner Circle Esports35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2857935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B840c119.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7252837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed B843c112.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4644939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a6…b1b6backed B855c110.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.715451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Inner Circle Esports43c109.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.222734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Inner Circle Esports44c108.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Inner Circle Esports45c103.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4229052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Inner Circle Esports30c102.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7222534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Inner Circle Esports48c101.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4328143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd795…589abacked B857c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.994951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Inner Circle Esports42c99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4717444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Inner Circle Esports45c98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.139258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Inner Circle Esports57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5363541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Inner Circle Esports57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5331852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Inner Circle Esports39c96.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5750340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Inner Circle Esports23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.942650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Inner Circle Esports52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5671951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed B852c93.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0928844.1%127 W · 161 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Inner Circle Esports43c91.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1236554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed B865c84.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Inner Circle Esports21c82.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3437441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed B847c81.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.374650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed B855c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.423057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked B858c79.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Inner Circle Esports48c78.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7839847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed B866c78.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked B853c77.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1347260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5c…9edabacked Inner Circle Esports51c75.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.486071.7%43 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Inner Circle Esports44c74.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Inner Circle Esports48c74.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7944748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Inner Circle Esports30c69.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0325042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Inner Circle Esports50c65.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.558436.9%31 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked B875c64.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.191,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.