Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc53abe59632c81e1e94a53bb8ae0f38605b0c2b3d634139d2b613e895425fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 76c | 2,085$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 70c | 916.95$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.21 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 863.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.3 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…93e3backed Over | 75c | 747.69$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 650.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 76c | 649.1$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 616.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 25c | 599.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 528.63$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 501.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -11.8wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 74c | 275.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 214.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 21c | 210.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 76c | 206.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Under | 27c | 188.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 73c | 167.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…cac7backed Over | 67c | 150.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 29c | 129.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 24c | 105.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6e9dbacked Over | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 28c | 98.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 28c | 98.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 28c | 98.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 28c | 92.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 28c | 84.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Under | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7570…0b56backed Over | 73c | 56.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 53.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 39.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 71c | 37.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 75c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 75c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Over | 75c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 72c | 22.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 78c | 22.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 75c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 75c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.