Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd46af9e78591bce79ddf42506995b23b64b3cd5651a0682a3addfe2f49c26d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 77c | 811.36$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 774.54$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.32 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 759.38$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 619.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 502$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 359.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 47c | 342.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 340.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 27c | 212.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 52c | 166.3$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…d0b8backed Yes | 48c | 156.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 151.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 51c | 148.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 30c | 108.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 103.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 48c | 101.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef82…46ffbacked Yes | 41c | 91.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 62c | 89.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…6dd8backed Yes | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 36c | 80.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 71.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 49c | 66.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Yes | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 57.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…31f0backed Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 38c | 55.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed No | 52c | 55.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 50c | 55.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…7205backed No | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked No | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 50c | 44.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 41c | 36.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 52c | 27.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 25.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 25.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.